The Election Really Could Come Down to Turnout. That’s Bad for Donald Trump.
Here are 3 reasons why -
There's a growing consensus among political observers that the 2020 election could come down to turnout. And that's bad news for Donald Trump.
There are a number of reasons why turnout is so important in this election. First, Trump is deeply unpopular. According to a recent poll, only 40% of Americans approve of the job he's doing as president.
Second, Trump's base of support is shrinking. In particular, he is losing support among white voters, who have traditionally been his strongest demographic group.
Third, Democrats are highly motivated to vote against Trump. They see him as a threat to their values and their way of life.
As a result of these factors, it is clear that Trump needs a high turnout of his supporters in order to win the election. However, there are a number of factors that could depress turnout among Trump's base, including the COVID-19 pandemic, the economic recession, and Trump's own unpopularity.
Here are 3 reasons why turnout is so important in this election:
- Trump is deeply unpopular.
- Trump's base of support is shrinking.
- Democrats are highly motivated to vote against Trump.
If turnout is low, Trump could lose the election even if he wins the popular vote. This is because the Electoral College, which determines the winner of the presidency, is based on the number of votes cast in each state, not the national popular vote.
In 2016, Trump won the Electoral College even though he lost the popular vote by nearly 3 million votes. This was due in part to the fact that turnout was lower in Democratic strongholds than in Republican strongholds.
If turnout is low in 2020, it is possible that Trump could win the Electoral College again even if he loses the popular vote by an even wider margin. This is why turnout is so important in this election.
Conclusion
The 2020 election is likely to be decided by turnout. If turnout is low, Trump could win the election even if he loses the popular vote. This is why it is so important for Democrats to get out the vote and for Republicans to make sure their supporters turn out to vote.
